Technology

An AI bubble burst could reset the dynamics of rivalry and give India a chance to catch up

As the global AI landscape teeters on the edge of a correction, India’s AI sector is poised for a resurgence.

The global AI industry has been built on a foundation of over-investment in infrastructure, says the Bank for International Settlements in its March Quarterly Review. This over-investment has created a fragile ecosystem, vulnerable to a correction that could reset the dynamics of rivalry and give India a chance to catch up.

AI Bubble Burst

The AI sector has seen an explosion of investment in recent years, with venture capitalists, private equity firms, and even governments pouring billions into AI research, development, and deployment. However, much of this investment has flowed into AI infrastructure, such as data centers, high-performance computing clusters, and specialist hardware.

This has created a bubble that is increasingly fragile, says the Bank for International Settlements. **$100 billion** of AI investment in 2022 alone was financed through non-traditional assets, such as special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) and private equity firms that resemble debt but remain largely off-balance-sheet. This has created a house of cards, waiting to be shaken.

India’s AI Opportunity

So, what does this mean for India? The Indian AI ecosystem has traditionally lagged behind its global counterparts, but a correction could level the playing field.

India has a large pool of skilled developers, a growing domestic market, and a more cautious approach to AI investment. This has allowed India to focus on developing its own AI capabilities, rather than relying on foreign investment. **20% of India’s workforce** is already engaged in AI-related activities, a much higher proportion than in many other countries.

A Soft Landing Ahead?

A correction in the global AI sector could create a buying opportunity for India, allowing the country to acquire AI assets at a lower cost. This could accelerate India’s AI development and give the country a chance to catch up with global leaders.

However, this is not a given. India will need to navigate the complexities of global market trends and AI investment patterns to capitalize on the opportunity. With a more cautious approach to investment and a growing domestic market, India is well-placed to take advantage of a post-correction world.

What this means is that Indian AI companies may soon find themselves in a stronger position than they have been in years. With a more cautious approach to investment and a growing domestic market, India is ready to take on the challenges of the AI world and capitalize on the opportunities that arise.

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