The US’s uneven stance on the South China Sea has Southeast Asia wondering if America is a trustworthy ally.
Southeast Asia’s leaders are watching with interest as the US celebrates its 250th anniversary of independence. Kevin Chen from the S Rajaratnam School of International Studies points out that this milestone comes with an unspoken question – is the US a reliable partner for the region?
From Trump to Biden, consistency has been lacking
Since the start of President Donald Trump’s second term, some Southeast Asian nations had hoped that his transactional approach to foreign relations would create opportunities to strengthen ties with Washington. However, with a shift in leadership to President Joe Biden, regional leaders have been left wondering if this relationship will be more consistent and reliable.
The US has a history of being a significant player in the region, with a strong military presence and economic influence. However, its stance on key issues such as the South China Sea has been inconsistent, leaving many Southeast Asian nations questioning America’s commitment to the region.
The South China Sea: A test of US credibility
One of the biggest concerns in Southeast Asia is the US’s stance on the South China Sea. The region has long been embroiled in a territorial dispute over the waters, with several nations claiming sovereignty over various islands and reefs. The US has historically supported a rules-based international order, but its response to China’s increasing assertiveness in the region has been inconsistent.
In 2020, the US Navy sailed a destroyer near a disputed reef in the South China Sea, sparking a diplomatic row with China. However, this move was seen as a one-off, and subsequent US actions have failed to provide a clear answer on how it will address the issue.
What this means:
Southeast Asian nations are waiting for a clear signal from the US on its commitment to the region. A consistent stance on issues like the South China Sea would go a long way in rebuilding trust and strengthening ties with America. If the US continues to be inconsistent, Southeast Asian nations may be forced to look to other partners, such as China, to secure their interests.
